| Fight on crazy fight fans, fight on. |
Alright first up we will be going over the Miguel Angel Torres vs. Demetrious "Mighty Mouse" Johnson fight. Now this is one fight on this card that has been undeservedly under publicized. You would think that after the title-bout between Frankie Edgar and Gray Maynard dropped they would have done their best to get a big name like Miguel Angel Torres mentioned a few more times on the ticket, you know to help save their Pay Per View sales. Not the case this time around.
Nope, instead the former WEC bantamweight champ, former US Shooto bantamweight champ, former Ironheart Crown champ, 2008 Sherdog Breakthrough Fighter of the Year, 39-3 record holder, who had a 17 fight consecutive win-streak before losing to Brian Bowles and current #6 bantamweight in the world according to Sherdog.com has been relegated to the free preliminaries on Spike.tv with nary a whisper of his name on the previews released by the UFC.
Originally slated to fight Brad Pickett, Torres will now be facing the #10 bantamweight in the world, Demetrious Johnson, after Pickett withdrew due to injury. This fight that could very well tell us who will be getting a shot at the bantamweight title next. And it is being given away for free. Yeah, nice job Dana, way to help recover your sales for 130.
Of course we shouldn't be too hard on Dana right? I mean its not like they've already lost several big events this year due to fighter injuries, right? Its not like Frankie Edgar vs. Gray Maynard III was the big draw for UFC 130, right? Its not like fans and writers across the world are predicting epic low Pay-Per-View sales for UFC 130, right? And its not like he has a former (and fan-favorite) champ, battling a top contender in a match that could decide the future of the bantamweight division, right?
Wrong. Which begs the question, if Dana isn't paying attention and keeping care of this, what is Dana doing?
| Gee, aren't they cute together? |
But back to the fight at hand. While Johnson may have a better grappling and takedown game, Torres's advantages in striking, aggression, and submissions are way to huge to overcome. No disrespect to Johnson who is a great fighter, but Torres has the makings of a future Hall of Famer. This fight will be exciting, and full of fireworks between two top contenders. But the only real way I see Johnson winning is if Torres doesn't show up.
Fan Fight's prediction is a win for Miguel Angel Torres by an early second-round TKO.
Next up on the plate is Thiago "The Pitbull" Alves vs. Rick "The Horror" Story. One of the big side-stories of this bout is Alves's continual struggle with making weight, having to make a thirty-pound cut to make the 170 pound limit of the Welterweight division is the kind of obstacle that would have most fighters moving up to Middleweight. Not Alves.
After failing to make weight at UFCs 85 and 117 against Matt Hughes and Jon Fitch respectively, and having previously failed a drug test early in his career after taking diuretics to help him make weight, Dana White stated that it was more than likely that Alves would be moving up to middleweight. But Alves begged and pleaded for a second chance.
And he got it, making weight in his fight against John Howard at UFC 124 Alves put on one of the most impressive performances of his career. And after a victory there he is starting in on the Welterweight division again, against the 5-1 up-and-comer Rick Story. And with a nutritional program courtesy of Mike Dolce, he had no problem making weight this time around.
| Stephen King ain't got nothing on this horror story. |
Story is on a four-fight win streak, one of them by a controversial split decision against Nick Osipczak. His striking is continually improving, in particular his boxing. And he comes from a strong wrestling base which will give him an advantage in takedowns.
In regards to striking the advantage must go to Alves though. He is arguably the most feared Muay Thai striker in the Welterweight division. Story is certainly no slouch and his ability to put together combinations will let him do some damage standing, but he shouldn't be able to compete at the same level of striking as Alves. With that stand-up advantage given to Alves we also recognize that the stand up game here will be one of the most exciting of the night. Expect plenty of technical combinations from both fighters.
But where this fight will be won and lost will be on the ground. Alves, despite having a black-belt in Brazilian Jiu-Jitsu, loathes to take a fight to the mat. If he had his way all of his fights would stay standing. And in the past he has shown a weakness against elite wrestlers once on the ground in the forms of George St. Pierre and Jon Fitch. Fortunately for him his fights rarely go to the ground anymore due to a good takedown defense, a defense that was good enough to stop 4-time NCAA All-American wrestler Josh Koscheck in his tracks.
Story on the other hand is a natural wrestler and won an impressive Fight of the Night/Submission of the Night victory over Brian Foster via arm-triangle. He has good takedowns and brutal ground-n-pound. We haven't seen enough of Story to know just how good he is, but one thing we know is that this kid is hungry as hell. You can see it on his face in his interviews, he wants Alves. He asked to fight Alves. He asked to fight the top 3 contender and "Muay thai wrecking machine" that is Thiago Alves. Win or lose, he's got guts.
We at Fan Fight are predicting an upset, with Story being able to land his takedowns by setting them up with striking combinations and taking the win by submission in the third round.
Next up we have Brian "All-American" Stann vs. Jorge "The Sandman" Santiago. Santiago is a the 2007 Strikeforce Middleweight Tournament champion, 2008 Sengoku Middlewight Grand Prix champion, and former Sengoku champion. Stann is a former WEC light-heavy weight champion, and received the Silver Star during his service as a United States Marine.
| Happy Memorial Day Stann, and thank you for your service. |
Santiago already has had an unsuccessful run in the UFC, and this will be his second attempt at breaking into the world's biggest and best mma league. Stann is coming off of a win over Chris Leben, a win that shocked the world as he took it by knock-out from man that has one of the hardest chins in the world and is noticeably more dangerous after he gets hurt a little. In short, Stann has heavy hands. Add in his discipline, his training with Greg Jackson, and the fact that he is a former Marine who will be fighting on Memorial Day weekend of all weekends and we think this will end up being fairly quick bout.
Fan Fight predicts an early win for Brian Stann via KO.
We will also take a quick glance at Stefan "Skyscraper" Struve vs. Travis "Hapa" Browne. We personally haven't seen a lot of these fighters, and so will be relying on second-hand information to judge them. And the way we see it is that Struve, being the tallest fighter in the UFC and a fantastic kickboxer, will be able to use his reach and height to his advantage to hold Browne off and destroy "Hapa" with some striking combinations.
Fan Fight predicts an third round TKO for Stefan Struve.
Next we tackle Frank Mir vs. Roy "Big Country" Nelson. Mir is a former heavyweight champion, and Nelson is a former International Fight League heavyweight champion and and Ultimate Fighter winner, they are ranked #6 and #10 respectively in the heavyweight rankings by Sherdog. Both fighters have been pretty lax in hyping the fight because both have so much respect for one another. Having crossed each others paths more than once in their home state of Nevada.
This is an interesting match up in that they are so similar in style. They are both great at submissions and grappling, and while Mir is a more diverse striker and can arguably hit harder and faster Nelson is a lot tougher than Mir and can take more of a beating. Both have knock-out power in their hands. In fact they both match up so well that we don't see this fight finishing.
Fan Fight predicts that Mir will win by unanimous decision, his broader repertoire of UFC experience giving him the advantage to score more points over Nelson.
And now, last but not least, the main event of UFC 130. Quentin "Rampage" Jackson vs. Matt "The Hammer" Hamill.
| I ain't gettin' on no plane, fool! |
I don't think a lot of people outside of Randy Couture are predicting that Hamill will take this fight. Former light-heavyweight champ Rampage Jackson is a perennial top 5 contender and he has massive knockout power in both hands. He goes out into the cage looking to mess peoples faces up.
That's his game plan. That is always his game plan. People know what they are going to see when they hear that Rampage is fighting. What people don't know, and what makes this main event exciting, is what they are going to see from Matt Hamill. This is guy who started out as just a wrestler but who has developed a good stand-up and submission game. His game is constantly improving, and we all look forward to seeing what he can pull out of his hat next.
But has he improved enough? That is the question we are asking ourselves tonight. Can Hamill do it? We already know that Rampage can win. Rampage can always win, he has that kind of knockout power. But what about Hamill?
One wonders what is going through his thoughts right now. A deaf collegiate wrestler, he was a three time NCAA Division III National Champion. The Hammer has battled a handicap, biased British judges (who stole a win from Hamill over Michael Bisping), and endless MC Hammer jokes.
| Can't touch this! |
Rampage has made it quite clear he feels that Hamill is beneath him. Not even a speed-bump to slow him down on his way to the winners-circle. Essentially the only reason he even began training seriously this late before the game was because Hamill managed to get under his skin and the Rampage decided to go ahead and actualy try to knock Hamill out rather than getting the decision. His disregard for Hamill's skills are apparent and could be his undoing.
Hamill has a superior ground-game, and he will probably use that to keep the former champ out of the stand-up game and on his back.
Fan Fight predicts the upset, with Hamill taking the win via a decision. Rampage just isn't taking Hamill seriously enough, and while maybe Hamill isn't ready to fight at Rampage's level that has yet to be proven one way or the other. And after taking out Tito Ortiz and Mark Munoz we know that Matt "The Hammer" Hamill is not to be trifled with.
All in all UFC 130, despite the loss of its orignal main event, is looking like it will produce some excellent fights and possibly even a few Fight of the Year contenders.